DeepSeek Researcher Predicts AI Will Replace Most Jobs Within 10–20 Years

During the World Internet Conference in Wuzhen, DeepSeek senior researcher Chen Deli broke a year‑long silence to warn about the profound impact of artificial intelligence on employment. He stated that AI will replace most human jobs within a 10‑to‑20‑year horizon and presented a clear three‑stage evolution path.

Stage 1 (3–5 years): A "honeymoon" period where humans can collaborate with AI to create greater value.

Stage 2 (5–10 years): The onset of job displacement, with rising unemployment risk as AI begins to substitute certain roles.

Stage 3 (10–20 years): A long‑term phase where large‑scale job replacement forces a societal re‑ordering and reconstruction of labor structures.

Chen highlighted a fundamental difference between this AI revolution and previous industrial revolutions: earlier technological shifts kept humans as the sole intelligent agents, whereas AI is evolving into an intelligent entity itself, potentially surpassing human intelligence. This core transformation, he argued, will make AI’s societal impact far greater than any past technology change.

(Source: Kuai Technology)