Model Perspective
Oct 13, 2025 · Fundamentals
Timing the Harvest: The Optimal Stopping Theory Behind a Classic Chinese Poem
Using the Tang poem 'When the flower blooms, seize it' as a metaphor, this article formulates the optimal stopping problem with Gaussian value curves, survival probabilities, discounting, risk attitudes, Bayesian learning, and exploration‑exploitation trade‑offs, revealing when to act before the perfect moment fades.
Optimal Stoppingbayesian learningdecision theory
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