Alibaba Cloud Developer

Sep 26, 2016 · Artificial Intelligence

Can Machine Learning Predict China’s Car License Lottery? Secrets in 13‑Digit IDs

This article investigates whether the 13‑digit user IDs used in Chinese car‑license lotteries are truly random, revealing how the ID generation, seed‑based selection, and hidden patterns—especially the influential seventh digit—affect outcomes, and demonstrates that simple linear models can achieve an AUC of around 0.8 in predicting winners, while also discussing the system’s opacity across major cities.