What Drives the US Blockade of Iranian Ports? Game Theory and Oil Supply Shock Insights

The US Central Command’s April 13 blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz is examined through the lens of the Chicken Game, credible commitment, and quantitative supply‑shock modeling, revealing who bears the brunt, the likely price impact, and broader strategic implications for global energy markets.

EnergyGame TheoryGeopolitics

0 likes · 8 min read

What Drives the US Blockade of Iranian Ports? Game Theory and Oil Supply Shock Insights

Model Perspective

Apr 11, 2025 · Fundamentals

Can Evolutionary Game Theory Explain the US‑China Trade War?

This article uses evolutionary game theory, especially the hawk‑dove model and replicator dynamics, to analyze the multi‑round strategic interactions behind recent US tariffs and China's countermeasures, showing how stable mixed strategies emerge in international geopolitics.

ESSInternational Relationsevolutionary game theory

0 likes · 11 min read

Can Evolutionary Game Theory Explain the US‑China Trade War?

Model Perspective

Jan 14, 2024 · Fundamentals

How Graph Theory Can Predict Global War Risks: A Quantitative Model

This article presents a graph‑theory based mathematical model that treats nations as nodes and their relationships as weighted edges, using centrality metrics to quantitatively assess and forecast potential war risks, illustrated with a 2024 case study of key global regions and an adjacency matrix.

International RelationsRisk Modelingcentrality metrics

0 likes · 9 min read

How Graph Theory Can Predict Global War Risks: A Quantitative Model