Model Perspective

Apr 12, 2024 · Fundamentals

Can Bayesian Reasoning Predict Your Chance of Spotting Sea Turtles in Phuket?

The author recounts a Phuket trip to see sea turtles and demonstrates how Bayesian updating, using prior guide data and new evidence such as season and weather, can estimate the probability of spotting turtles, illustrating the method with a concrete example.