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multiplicative processes

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Model Perspective
Model Perspective
Jul 10, 2026 · Industry Insights

Is Avoiding Stupidity More Important Than Being Smart?

Exploring Charlie Munger’s reverse‑thinking principle, the article shows how avoiding foreseeable mistakes protects the geometric mean in multiplicative games, explains Jensen’s inequality, the impact of absorbing barriers, and when to defend or attack based on distance to ruin, offering a nuanced view of smart versus stupid strategies.

Jensen inequalitybarbell strategydecision making
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Is Avoiding Stupidity More Important Than Being Smart?