Machine Learning Algorithms & Natural Language Processing

Apr 14, 2026 · Artificial Intelligence

Two‑Year‑Old Chinese Forecast Gains Global Consensus as Meta, METR and Others Confirm the Same AI Scaling Law

A Chinese research team’s 2024 "density law"—which predicts that the parameters needed for a given LLM performance halve every 3.5 months—has been independently validated by Meta’s scaling ladder, METR’s time‑horizon report, and subsequent analyses, revealing a unified exponential growth curve that reshapes expectations for inference cost, edge AI feasibility, and optimal model‑development strategies.