Fighter's World

Dec 7, 2024 · Artificial Intelligence

Does Scaling Law Still Hold? Analyzing OpenAI’s 12‑Day Mini Releases and the Future of GPT‑5

The article examines OpenAI’s 12‑day mini‑series, the emergence of o1 and Reinforcement Fine‑Tuning, and uses Epoch AI’s 2024 report to evaluate four critical constraints—power, chip capacity, data scarcity, and latency—that determine whether AI scaling laws can sustain the compute needed for a GPT‑5‑scale model by 2030.