Why Most People Miss Technological Waves: A Three‑Layer Structural Analysis

The article explains, using the diffusion S‑curve, loss‑aversion, status‑quo bias, and capital constraints, why ordinary people systematically fail to become early adopters of emerging technologies such as AI, showing that structural factors—not lack of information—exclude them from high‑return periods.

AI adoptionS-curveTechnology adoption

0 likes · 12 min read

Why Most People Miss Technological Waves: A Three‑Layer Structural Analysis

Architect

Feb 12, 2025 · Artificial Intelligence

Can S‑Curve Theory Explain the Limits of Large‑Model Scaling Laws?

The article analyses how S‑shaped growth curves can model the apparent scaling laws of large language models, discusses the three phases of model development, proposes an ability‑density hypothesis, and explores future scenarios where scaling laws may plateau or shift.

AI growthAbility DensityLarge Language Models

0 likes · 16 min read

Can S‑Curve Theory Explain the Limits of Large‑Model Scaling Laws?

DevOps

Mar 8, 2021 · R&D Management

Lean Innovation and Growth Strategies: JD.com Case Study

The article explores why enterprises must continuously innovate, outlines the challenges of cross‑industry disruption, digital transformation, and VUCA environments, and presents JD.com’s lean innovation process, S‑curve growth model, three‑horizon strategy, and concrete internal innovation cases to drive sustainable growth.

Digital TransformationGrowthInnovation

0 likes · 28 min read

Lean Innovation and Growth Strategies: JD.com Case Study