Model Perspective

Mar 3, 2026 · Operations

How Long Can Iran’s Missile Arsenal and US THAAD Last in the 2026 Conflict?

A detailed three‑equation dynamic model estimates the depletion rates of Iran’s ballistic missiles and the US‑Israel THAAD interceptors during the 2026 Middle‑East clash, revealing that THAAD runs out in about 2‑3 days while Iran’s effective missile window shrinks to roughly two weeks under high‑intensity fighting.