Model Perspective

May 30, 2026 · Industry Insights

Can the Spurs Upset the Defending Champion Thunder on Their Home Court in Game 7?

A logistic‑regression model using net efficiency differential and recent momentum predicts the Thunder to win Game 7 with about an 87% probability (range 65‑96%), yet the Spurs retain roughly a 13% chance, hinging on factors like Victor Wembanyama’s scoring and Jalen Williams’s injury‑adjusted impact.